A double dose of good news for the President.
The economy continues to roll as the fourth quarter numbers have been released and show a growth rate of 4.1%.
This paragraph buried deep inn the AP story is enlightening:
"The economy's performance in the second half of last year marked the best back-to-back quarterly performance since the first two quarters of 1984."
In other words, since Ronald Reagan was president. Or put another way, better than Slick Willie ever managed. Do you suppose Peter Jennings will point that out on the news this evening?
The second bit of happy news is that the National Journal has just released its rankings of the members of the U.S. Congress, and one John Kerry is the MOST LIBERAL Senator. Yep, more liberal than Teddy K and more liberal than Barby Boxer. This is stunning stuff and Karl Rove MUST be drooling with thoughts of the ads he can run this Fall.
I will say it again, Bush will win re-election, and he will do it fairly easily.
Wednesday, February 25, 2004
Four More Years.
I am increasingly of a mind that George W. Bush will sweep back to power with a much larger win than 2000.
A race between two non-incumbents is much more unpredictable than when an incumbent is present.
Public opinion polls that purport to measure approval and disapproval can be tweaked in any way the poll taker wants the results to go. However the more questions that are asked, the harder it is for a dishonest polling effort to cover its tracks.
For instance, a poll that shows President Bush has only a 48% approval rating on foreign policy, yet also shows 65% support the Iraq War, almost by definition is unreliable.
When reading poll results, always read the full list of questions, find out what the sample number were (how many Dems, how many GOP etc), and when the poll was taken.
George W. Bush will win in November barring some huge disaster. My earlier prediction of a very narrow victory for Bush is still operative, but I now think Bush will collect closer to 350 electoral votes than the minimum of 270.
I am increasingly of a mind that George W. Bush will sweep back to power with a much larger win than 2000.
A race between two non-incumbents is much more unpredictable than when an incumbent is present.
Public opinion polls that purport to measure approval and disapproval can be tweaked in any way the poll taker wants the results to go. However the more questions that are asked, the harder it is for a dishonest polling effort to cover its tracks.
For instance, a poll that shows President Bush has only a 48% approval rating on foreign policy, yet also shows 65% support the Iraq War, almost by definition is unreliable.
When reading poll results, always read the full list of questions, find out what the sample number were (how many Dems, how many GOP etc), and when the poll was taken.
George W. Bush will win in November barring some huge disaster. My earlier prediction of a very narrow victory for Bush is still operative, but I now think Bush will collect closer to 350 electoral votes than the minimum of 270.
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