Ok, I'm back. After a year of unrelenting turmoil in my life I finally feel like blogging again.

Election day is tomorrow and while I have not been blogging I have certainly been reading and listening to all the hubbub.

My gut tells me that the Democrats pick up 12 to 18 seats in the House. This would result in an absurdly narrow margin for either party.

In the Senate I look for the GOP to lose 3 to 5 seats. Ohio and Pennsylvania are gone. I suspect Rhode Island is also. Tennessee is firmly back in the R column. Montana I fear will go for Tester along the lines of 52-48.

Missouri I believe will go for Talent by a few thousand votes.

Allen will hold on in Virginia by 51-49.

My major upset pick is Steele in Maryland. He is within 3-4 points in all polls, and I believe the black vote will turn his way strongly on Tuesday.

That all amounts to a net Dem pickup of 3 seats. However, Talent and Allen are in tough tough races and the ground game could turn them either way.

BestHope